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Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira 2 Preview: UFC 326 Tips, Odds & Prediction

Date: Sunday, 8 March 2026 Time: 02:00 AM GMT Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, USA Prepare for another blockbuster at UFC 326 as Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira renew hostilities. To establish the best lightweight in the division, the stakes don’t get much higher, and the licensed US betting sites will be queuing up with odds and markets to tempt bettors.

Charles Perrin
Charles Perrin

Last updated: 2026-02-23

Chad Nagel

6 minutes read

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(L-R) Opponents Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira face off during the UFC

(L-R) Opponents Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira face off during the UFC / Getty Images

Oliveira and Holloway, let’s not forget, last met over 10 years ago at UFC Fight Night 74, and on that occasion, Holloway stopped Oliveira within 90 seconds of Round 1 due to a mysterious neck injury.

Questions lingered in the air for some time after, but now’s the time to set the record straight. Holloway, who will be putting his symbolic BMF belt on the line, has lost eight of his 35 fights (27-8-0), while Oliveira’s record stands at 36-11-0, underlining his experience.

Holloway has built up steam over the past few weeks, chalking up some impressive wins over Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje, but can he take out Oliveira? Our Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira preview features odds sourced from reliable online betting operators, and we’ve assessed their strengths, so you know what to look out for.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

Online UFC betting sites worth playing at will carry a raft of pre-match betting odds to build up excitement. We’ve taken a look at the Moneyline prices ahead of Holloway vs Oliveira 2.

  1. Max Holloway: 9/20 (1.45) – 69%

  2. Charles Oliveira: 33/20 (2.65) – 37.7%
    *Odds courtesy of BetMGM, subject to change.

Tale of the Tape

Given the magnitude of this fight between two UFC warriors, it would be remiss not to look at what both Holloway and Oliveira bring to the party. With that in mind, we have produced a table that serves as a tale of the tape to see how they compare. This is worth reading to help you with your UFC betting strategies.

Tale of the Tape

AttributeMax HollowayCharles Oliveira
Age3436
Height5’11 (180cm)5’10 (178cm)
Weight155lbs (70.3kg)156lbs (70.7kg)
Reach69” (175cm)74” (178cm)
Record27-8-036-11-0
KO/TKO12 Wins (44%)10 Wins (28%)
Submission2 Wins (7%)22 Wins (61%)
Decisions13 Wins (48%)4 Wins (11%)
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Max Holloway News

The American, who goes by the nickname of “Blessed”, has had excuse the pun, a pretty blessed UFC career. A former featherweight champion, he would loathe to lose his symbolic BMF title status.

A decade ago, Holloway found himself up against Oliveira, and he successfully defended a takedown attempt from Oliveira, who immediately put his right hand over his shoulder to signal to the referee that something wasn’t right. It was ultimately an unedifying end to what should have been a captivating contest.

Holloway has gone from strength to strength, and apart from his TKO defeat to Ilia Topuria, where he was floored by a left hook in Round 3, the Hawaiian-born Holloway has won four of his past five bouts in the Octagon.

Known for his relentless striking and high-level technical proficiency, Holloway will look to compensate for his shorter reach compared to Oliveira and produce some big combinations.

Charles Oliveira News

With his expertise in Muay Thai, Oliveira possesses some of the best submission tactics in UFC history, and it’s no surprise that over 60% of his wins have come via this method.

Arguably, Oliveira will feel like he has a point to prove after the first fight against Holloway, or rather, he may believe he has unfinished business, as it was an unsatisfactory way to bow out of a contest.

Known as the “kid from Do Bronx”, which in Portuguese means “the ghetto”, Oliveira is one of the most prolific active fighters in the UFC, judging by the number of bouts he has featured in, and some of his highlights include rear-naked choke wins over Poirier and Gaethje.

Although he has a reach and height advantage, Oliviera will need to be a bit cautious, but his takedown stats make for impressive reading, so that bodes well.

Suggested Bets

To execute your betting strategies, it’s worth leaning into our expertise. We’ve scurried around the most reputable UFC betting sportsbooks and picked out a few markets you should check out before the first bell of Holloway vs Oliveira.

  1. Max Holloway to Win by KO/TKO: A skilled pugilist, Holloway rarely shows any mercy. In two of his past four fights, Holloway has delivered classy TKO/KO wins, and his right hook is a monster. Over 40% of his career victories in UFC have come via TKO/KO, and if he dictates early on, he could extend that return. (37/50 with BetRivers)

  2. Charles Oliveira to Win: Revenge will be firmly on Oliveira’s mind. After perhaps feeling like he was robbed in the original bout, Oliveira will be eager to set the record straight and prove he is the man. The Brazilian would love to create an upset, and although he hasn’t won back-to-back fights in the Octagon for a few years, he could prove his detractors wrong. (12/10 with DraftKings)

  3. Charles Oliveira Over 0.5 Takedowns: A glance at the stats shows that Oliveira is far superior in the takedown department compared to Holloway, averaging more than two takedowns per 15 minutes, so this has some merit to it. (4/5 with Caesars Sportsbook)

Value Bets

To improve your wagering experience, it’s worth investigating some free betting tips, and we’ve selected a few for Holloway vs Oliveira.

  1. Total Under 3.5 Rounds: It’s fair to assert that Oliveira is quicker than Holloway at getting the job done inside the Octagon. Oliviera’s last fight saw him wrap up victory in the second round with a rear-naked choke submission win; however, Under 3.5 rounds isn’t too speculative. (4/1 with FanDuel)

  2. Total Under 3.5 Rounds: It’s fair to assert that Oliveira is quicker than Holloway at getting the job done inside the Octagon. Oliviera’s last fight saw him wrap up victory in the second round with a rear-naked choke submission win; however, Under 3.5 rounds isn’t too speculative. (4/1 with FanDuel)

  3. Max Holloway to Win by Decision: Holloway has been on the receiving end of some tight decisions in recent times, but he’s also had some successes too. Well, his victory over Poirier at UFC was unanimous, and should the contest go the distance, Holloway could sneak it. (3/1 with BetMGM)

Prediction: Max Holloway to Win

UFC 326 has the makings of being a special night. Although it may have been hard to make any firm judgments about the original bout between Holloway and Oliveira, given how quickly it finished, this could be a more exciting encounter.

Oliveira hasn’t been in form, although he will relish the occasion, and he will need to take it to Holloway. However, Holloway, who is putting his token BMF title on the line, will want to show he is the ultimate warrior. He could win this rematch, and should he do so, it will be received by the Vegas crowd.

Charles Perrin
Charles PerrinSports Betting Writer

Charles Perrin has spent more than six years covering the world of sports betting, during which he has collaborated with some of the most recognised sportsbooks in the UK, including industry leaders such as bet365 and William Hill.