Betting
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape Odds, Tips and Predictions
Date: Sunday, 14 December 2025 Time: 03:00 AM GMT Venue: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA Las Vegas will be in the spotlight as UFC Apex will stage UFC Fight Night on Sunday, 14 December 2025, and this marks the final event before Christmas. SportsBoom has dissected the potential talking points and angles, and we’ve provided an in-depth preview for the headline flyweight division fight between Brandon Royval and Manel Kape. UFC betting sites have been eagerly anticipating this fight for months, and here is hoping that third time is a charm, given there were two dates agreed and signed off on before they were cancelled. Originally, Royval and Kape were supposed to meet on March 1, but Royval withdrew due to a series of concussion injuries, and then it was rescheduled for UFC 317 in June, only for Kape to pull out with a broken foot.
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Joshua Van /Getty Images
Royval, who was a last-minute replacement at UFC 317, is currently third in the global UFC rankings. He will be desperate to return to winning ways following his defeat to Joshua Van, who has propelled himself into title contention.
In contrast, Kape, who is sixth in the rankings, has won six of his past seven outings, and he is renowned for his explosive counter-striking power. We’ve also provided some Royval vs Kape predictions that you should mull over before fight night.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
We’ve checked in on one of the most reliable online betting sites to see how the pre-match betting odds are shaping up. Exploring these may give you a better idea of market opinion.
- Brandon Royval: 3/4 (1.25) – 57.1%
- Manel Kape: 59/20 (3.95) – 25.3%
- *Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change.
Tale of the Tape
Some UFC bookmakers in the USA will post a few stats in the run-up to a fight, but our tale of the tape puts you in the picture, pinpointing the strengths and weaknesses of Royval and Kape. Checking this out might influence your UFC betting strategies
| Attribute | Brandon Royval | Manel Kape |
| Age | 33 | 32 |
| Height | 5’9” (175cm) | 5’5” (165cm) |
| Weight | 123 lbs (56kg) | 125lbs (57kg) |
| Reach | 68” (173cm) | 68” (173cm) |
| Record | 17-8-0 | 21-7-0 |
| KO/TKO | 4 wins (24%) | 13 wins (62%) |
| Submission | 9 wins (53%) | 5 wins (24%) |
| Decisions | 4 wins (24%) | 3 wins (14%) |
Brandon Royval News
Known as ‘Raw Dawg’, Royval (17-8) may have felt like he was on the wrong end of a bad decision against Van; however, he was repeatedly vulnerable to Van’s blistering right hands. More often than not, he has struggled to prevent takedowns when opponents are involved in grappling exchanges.
Royval was supposed to face Kape earlier this year, but cited multiple concussions as to why he had to pull out.
However, his most common form of victory has come through submissions, and he’s great with kneebars and heel hooks. A statement win over Kape would put Royval back into the flyweight title conversation.
Manel Kape News
A sparring session during the summer saw Kape break his right foot, and subsequently, his bout with Royval was pushed back. Kape has big ambitions to win a world title, and he is renowned for his excellent strike rate. His KO rate (62%) puts him in tied second for the most knockouts in UFC flyweight history.
He is box-office viewing, and he has treated fans to wins over Asu Almabayev, Zhalgas Zhumagulov, and Ode Osbourne. Famed for his strong takedown defense ability, as shown against Almabayev, Kape is adept at shutting down single and double leg attempts consistently.
Kape is here in Vegas to impress, and if he can take out Royval, he will climb into the top five in the flyweight division.
Suggested Bets
U.S UFC betting sportsbooks will carry plenty of markets per fight, and for a headline contest such as this, there will be some intriguing Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape betting odds to hop on.
Manel Kape to Win by KO/TKO: As a knockout specialist, Manel Kape will hope to get the job done quickly. If he can pin Brandon Royval into the corner with some big hits, then a KO win could be on the cards (5/6 with Stake).
Brandon Royval to Win in Round 5: If Royval can get into his stride early on, he could overpower Kape. Interestingly, three of Royval’s past five contests have gone the full five rounds, and one of his defeats came via a unanimous decision. In terms of UFC betting insights, this is worth paying attention to. (11/8 with Sportsbet.io)
Brandon Royval to Win by Submission: At times, Royval has shown himself to be well-rounded with his skillset, but his most popular method of victory has been by submission, which has amounted to 53% of his career wins. If he can take the initiative, a win by submission is certainly feasible (3/4 with Pinnacle)
Value Bets
Total Under 3.5 rounds: This isn’t likely to be a quick contest given the ferocious firepower on display, and Royval is pretty good with his jabs and his consistently strong kicking, which he showed against Van, Brandon Moreno, and Alexandre Pantoja. Kape hasn’t been involved in fights that have been under three rounds, so this is worth tapping into. (2/1 with N1Bet)
Manel Kape to Win By Decision: Given that Kape has demonstrated his ability to provide a killer KO, not many of the best betting sites for UFC are backing him to win by decision. Nevertheless, the fact that Royval might feel he was on the end of a rough decision against Van, this option shouldn’t be ruled out (8/1 with 1xBet).
Fight to Go the Distance: There are always plenty of thrills and spills in UFC, and judging by Royval’s recent track record, he has been prepared to slug it out and go to Round 5. While Kape may not want a slug fest, Royval could look to push this one out, so this line is worth checking out further. (5/1 with Betway)
Prediction: Royval To Win By Submission
Las Vegas is built for big UFC nights, and the expectant crowd at UFC Apex will be hoping that the Colorado-born Royval delivers a stunning display and takes out the Portuguese star Kape. Yes, Royval is higher in the flyweight rankings, but Kape is on the rise, so this matchup has all the ingredients to be a classic.
Although Royval can be vulnerable to powerful right hands, as shown by his bloodied battle with Van over the summer, he is effective with the jab, and he doesn’t mind a scrap. Royval’s grappling skills and ability to remain patient will be key here, and he could well win this fight by submission.
Charles Perrin has spent more than six years covering the world of sports betting, during which he has collaborated with some of the most recognised sportsbooks in the UK, including industry leaders such as bet365 and William Hill.