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Alexa Grasso vs Maycee Barber UFC Preview – Odds, Tips & Prediction

Date: Sunday, March 29 Time: 12am Midnight GMT Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, USA Alexa Grasso and Maycee Barber will aim to electrify the crowd once again when they face off in a flyweight contest at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle on Sunday, March 29. The second installment has the makings of being a classic, and therefore recognizable UFC betting platforms will be plugged with lines, so read our analysis for the latest updates.

published: 03-25-2026

Last updated: 03-25-2026

Charles Perrin
Charles Perrin
Sports Betting Writer
Chad Nagel
Sports Betting & Casino Editor

6 minutes read

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Alexa Grasso of Mexico reacts after her victory over Maycee Barber

Alexa Grasso of Mexico reacts after her victory over Maycee Barber / Getty Images

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Maycee Barber Backed

Checking the pre-match betting odds for any fight should be the first port of call for bettors. We’ve paid a visit to one of our recommended US betting operators to see what they’re saying for Grasso vs Barber, so read more below for the latest Moneyline prices.

  1. Alexa Grasso: 63/50 (2.26) – 44.2%

  2. Maycee Barber: 31/50 (1.62) – 61.7%

    *Odds courtesy of FanDuel, subject to change.

Tale of the Tape

Before any given fight, we love to dissect the stats. While some MMA betting sites will post some information, such as the form guide, it’s not often that you will find a full tale of the tape. This is where we come in. Ahead of Grasso vs Barber, we’ve compiled a table detailing the respective strengths and weaknesses of both fighters, so you can see how they stack up.

Tale of the Tape

AttributeAlexa GrassoMaycee Barber
Age3227
Height5’5 (165cm)5’5 (165cm)
Weight126lbs (57.1kg)125.5lbs (56.9kg)
Reach66” (168cm)65” (165cm)
Record16-5-115-2-0
KO/TKO4 Wins (25%)6 Wins (40%)
Submission2 Wins (13%)2 Wins (13%)
Decisions10 Wins (63%)7 Wins (47%)
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Alexa Grasso News

Things haven’t exactly been smooth sailing for Grasso since her first bout with Barber. Yes, there was a clinical Round 1 win over Joanne Wood on a UFC fight night in March 2022, but she came unstuck against Valentina Shevchenko at UFC 306 following a unanimous decision, and that was their third clash.

This preceded a unanimous points decision defeat to Natalia Silva at UFC 315. Grasso, let’s not forget, is a former champion, and she is certainly in contention to battle it out for UFC gold once again.

Her high-volume approach is supported by excellent combination punching, and her crisp movement around the Octagon makes her a tough nut to break down. With an average of over four significant strikes per minute, Grasso doesn’t like to hang about.

Grasso comes in slightly heavier, but her slight reach advantage could work in her favor. Although there is a burden on her shoulders, Grasso is at a crossroads in her career, and she will be looking to re-establish some momentum.

Maycee Barber News

Known as ‘The Future’, Barber has been clamoring for a rematch with Grasso for years. After finally getting her chance, she will want to seize the opportunity with both hands.

Although she has an impressive 15-2 record, Barber has had a few setbacks to contend with. Last May, she was earmarked to headline her first UFC event against Erin Blanchfield, but the bout fell through after Barber failed to make her weight, and then suffered a seizure off stage, forcing her to withdraw, and she was rushed to hospital.

Before that, she was hospitalized for 11 days with pneumonia, and subsequently had to back out of her planned fight with Rose Namajunas. Anyway, the defeat to Grasso was the wake-up call she needed.

She hasn’t lost since UFC 258, and Barber would reassert herself as a top contender for a title if she were to win. Barber is an effective ground-and-pound style fighter, and that was showcased in her TKO win over Amanda Ribas at a UFC event in Florida in 2023, so Grasso has been warned.

Suggested Bets

The UFC sites for betting that we use always deliver for the markets they advertise. We’ve selected a few suggested wagers that could be worth tapping into ahead of Grasso vs Barber.

  1. Alexa Grasso to Win by Decision: Grasso took the original bout by a unanimous decision, and it’s taken a long time to schedule a refight. Although Grasso’s last two bouts saw her on the wrong end of a points decision, there is nothing to suggest that she couldn’t repeat the feat against Barber. (8/5 with FanDuel)

  2. Alexa Grasso Double Chance (TKO/KO or Points): Having opted for the decision line, you can combine this with double chance, and cover a couple of outcomes with Grasso to win by points or TKO/KO. Combined, Grasso has won nearly 90% of her fights via TKO/KO and points, so the double chance line could be worth leaning into. (9/11 with FanDuel)

  3. Fight to Go the Distance: Both fighters have been pushed the distance on several occasions, and this grudge match could go all the way once again. The fight to go the full three rounds doesn’t seem too fanciful. (11/10 with FanDuel)

Value Bets

Those bettors who wish to test themselves on MMA markets may be persuaded to try out the following lines that hold some value for Grasso vs Barber. They have helped form today’s predictions.

  1. Total Under 2.5 Rounds: Neither fighter would be classified as slow burners and plenty is riding on the outcome of this bout. A clinical victory could be telling, and Under 2.5 rounds has some merit. (6/1 with FanDuel)

  2. Maycee Barber to Win by TKO/KO: Though Barber has experienced some setbacks over the past few years, she has been gunning for revenge over Grasso. If Barber comes put fully firing from the first bell, she could land a TKO/KO win, and that’s not too fanciful. (7/1 with FanDuel)

  3. Maycee Barber Over 1.5 Takedowns: Barber has proved to be far superior in this department, averaging Over 1.5 takedowns per contest. Barber to claim Over 1.5 takedowns across the bout is tempting. (8/1 with FanDuel)

Prediction: Alexa Grasso to Win

The stakes couldn’t be much higher for both fighters insofar as bolstering their chances to put themselves in the title picture.

That said, while Barber will be eager to turn the tables and set the record straight, Grasso appears to be the more complete fighter. We’re looking forward to the rematch, but Grasso has more weapons and punching power, and that could prove to be the difference. We’ve marked down a Grasso win here.

Charles Perrin
Charles PerrinSports Betting Writer

Charles Perrin has spent more than six years covering the world of sports betting, during which he has collaborated with some of the most recognised sportsbooks in the UK, including industry leaders such as bet365 and William Hill.

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