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Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics Preview: Odds, Tips & Prediction

Date: Thursday, Feb 19th, 2026 Tip-Off Time: 10:00 p.m. ET Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, California TV: Prime Video, NBCSBA, NBCSB, or TSN Streaming: Stream with NBA League Pass Records: Golden State Warriors (28-25), Boston Celtics (34-18) Referee: N/A Last Meeting: Golden State Warriors 85-125 Boston Celtics (Jan, 20th 2025|NBA) SportsBoom previews the NBA cross-conference matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics at Chase Center, San Francisco, California, on Thursday, 19th February 2026, in their first meeting of the season. The Warriors are eighth in the Western Conference standings and are 17-9 at home, while the Celtics are second in the Eastern Conference standings with 17-10 on the road. Be sure to find the best value on our recommended betting sites for NBA.

Ian Wanyeki
Ian Wanyeki

Last updated: 2026-02-10

Chad Nagel

7 minutes read

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Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors shoots a three-point shot

Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors / Getty Images

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

  1. Golden State Warriors: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%

  2. Boston Celtics: 1/3 (1.33) – 75.0%

  3. Forecast odds – Betting available on DraftKings closer to the event. 

Head-to-Head Record

Last 5 meetings (NBA)

  1. 20/01/2025 Golden State Warriors 85-125 Boston Celtics at Chase Center

  2. 06/11/2024 Boston Celtics 112-118 Golden State Warriors at TD Garden

  3. 03/03/2024 Boston Celtics 140-88 Golden State Warriors at TD Garden

  4. 19/12/2023 Golden State Warriors 132-126 (Over Time) Boston Celtics at Chase Center

  5. 19/01/2023 Boston Celtics 121-118 (Over Time) Golden State Warriors at TD Garden

Golden State Warriors: Current Form- LWLLW

In their last five games, the Warriors have won twice against the Suns (101-97) and the Jazz (140-124), while they have lost thrice against the Lakers (105-99), the 76ers (113-94), and the Pistons (131-124).

The Warriors’ offense, primarily orchestrated by head coach Steve Kerr and built around superstar Stephen Curry, is renowned for its “organized chaos”, which is essentially a high-paced, free-flowing, and, at times, unconventional system. It relies heavily on constant player movement, high-level passing, and, most notably, elite three-point shooting. 

Their defense, on the other hand, is characterized by high-level effort and elite efficiency in preventing points per 100 possessions, but it is often challenged by a lack of size and vulnerability to paint penetration

Golden State Warriors Offense vs Boston Celtics Defense

The Warriors’ offense is a sophisticated, high-IQ system that prioritizes movement and spacing over rigid sets, making it one of the most potent and unique in the NBA. The team has increasingly used five-out spacing to create driving lanes and shooting opportunities while reducing unnecessary turnovers and increasing assist-to-turnover ratios.

On the other hand, the Celtics' defense is high-level and has focused on dictating high-quality shots for opponents, placing high in “points per shot” allowed. The team has had to adjust to navigating without Jayson Tatum for significant periods, with others filling in the defensive gaps.

This matchup will be determined by the primary stars of both teams, who, when rested or injured, both teams have relied on a more collective approach.

Key Players to Watch

  • Stephen Curry (Point Guard)
    Stephen Curry is still one of the best “ten” players in the league despite being on the wrong side of 30. Curry leads the team in points per game with 27.2 while being central to the team’s style of play.
  • Draymond Green (Power Forward)
    Draymond Green is the defensive anchor for this team. Despite being a polarizing figure, Green's defensive credentials can’t be understated. He leads the team in rebounds and assists with 5.6 and 5.2, respectively.
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Center)
    The newly acquired big man via trade from the Hawks is expected to transform the Warriors on both ends of the floor, addressing glaring issues, especially in the paint. Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 17.1 points per game.

Golden State Warriors Injury Report

Jimmy Butler III
This injury is highly significant as it takes away the second-best player on the team, although the Warriors excellently fill in for injured players.

Boston Celtics: Current Form- LWWWW

In their last five games, the Celtics have won four times against the Heat (98-96), the Rockets (114-93), the Mavericks (110-100), and the Bucks (107-79), while they have lost against the Knicks (111-89).
The Celtics’ offense is characterized by high-volume 3-point shooting, elite ball security, and standout performances from key players stepping into larger roles.

On the other hand, their defense ranks 9th in the NBA, with a defensive rating of 112.5. They generally rank among the top 15 teams in the league across various defensive metrics despite facing challenges with lineup consistency, with a key concern being their rim protection. 

Boston Celtics Offense vs. Golden State Warriors Defense

The Boston Celtics offense has successfully adapted to a “next-man-up” approach, maintaining a top-tier offensive rating and demonstrating its ability to navigate the absence of Jason Tatum. They have relied on strong team-wide 3-point shooting (54% in some matchups), elite efficiency, ball security, and clutch performance.

The Warriors’ defense, on the other hand, has maintained a top-tier defensive rating, often ranking among the best in the league, while simultaneously showing some weaknesses in interior defense, although they have addressed this during the trade line. The team has consistently ranked among the league leaders in steals, with versatility on defensive assignments proving to be a key strength.

This can electrify the crowd as both the Celtics’ offense and the Warriors’ defense are elite. 

Key Players to Watch

  • Jaylen Brown (Small Forward)
    Jaylen Brown has taken over as the primary offensive hub and is performing at an elite, career-best scoring level, being among the top six in the NBA with an average of 29.5 points per game.
  • Derrick White (Shooting Guard)
    Derrick White is operating as a high-level secondary scorer and playmaker while also anchoring the perimeter defense. White is leading the team in assists, steals, and blocks with 5.5, 1.2, and 1.4, respectively, while averaging 17.4 points per game.
  • Payton Pritchard (Point Guard)
    Payton Pritchard is having a breakout season after starting in place of injured players. Pritchard has stepped up significantly, averaging career-highs in points (17.3) and assists (5.3).

Boston Celtics Injury Report

Jayson Tatum (Achilles)
Although Tatum’s injury is significant, the team has shown it’s capable of maneuvering while maintaining high production on both ends of the floor.

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Golden State Warriors
    Point Guard: Stephen Curry
    Shooting Guard: De'Anthony Melton
    Small Forward: Moses Moody
    Power Forward: Draymond Green
    Center: Kristaps Porzingis

  2. Boston Celtics
    Point Guard: Payton Pritchard
    Shooting Guard: Derrick White
    Small Forward: Jaylen Brown
    Power Forward: Sam Hauser
    Center: Neemias Queta

Suggested Main Bets

  1. Celtics to Win – The Celtics have a great form, with their overall defense and offense being on par. Therefore, they might have a slight advantage over the warriors. 

  2. Total Points: Over 220.5 –  These two teams are quite competitive and have high-scoring talent that gets through defenses manipulatively. 

  3. The Celtics to Cover a -2.5 Point Spread: If the Warriors have all their star players on board, the game will most likely be closely contested, leading to a narrow win gap. 

Prop Bets & Same-Game Parlay Ideas

Prop bets are a smart way to get action even if you are not fully confident in the final score, because you can focus on one player's outcome you trust. If you want to combine a few angles, the same game parlay can work too, but keep the stakes sensible since every extra leg makes it harder to land. For the best prices and market variety, place these on trusted bookmakers in the USA.

  1. Jaylen Brown: Over 25.5 Points – Brown is one of the top five leading scorers in the NBA, hence he will easily collect these points.

  2. Steph Curry: Over 25.5 Points – Curry is a walking cheat code in the NBA and is virtually unguardable. His presence on the floor shifts the opponent’s defensive scheme.   

Prediction: Celtics to Win 

The Celtics’ offense is surprisingly the second-best in the league with an offensive rating of 120.5, despite facing significant injury adversity, most notably the absence of Jayson Tatum. The Warriors’ defense, on the other hand, shows high-level effort but often lacks size and vulnerability. Therefore, the Celtics are most likely to get the win. 

Ian Wanyeki
Ian WanyekiSports Writer

Ian Wanyeki is a Nairobi-based sports journalist with a strong passion for sport and an impressive grasp of multiple disciplines. A Bachelor of Science graduate from Kenyatta University, he has worked as a sports analyst at Covenant Television Network, a sports reporter at NTV, and a correspondent and contributor for Quartz Africa.