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Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Preview: Odds, Tips & Prediction

The Miami Heat travel to Salt Lake City to take on the Utah Jazz. With the Heat occupying the tail end of the playoff spots, can they secure a win against the Jazz on their home turf, or will the Jazz pull off a big upset? If you’re planning to bet, consider the top NBA betting sites, renowned for providing new customers with excellent opportunities to land big wins on their bets.

Henry Cheal
Henry Cheal

Last updated: 2026-01-19

Chad Nagel

6 minutes read

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Bam Adebayo #13 of the Miami Heat reacts in the second half

Bam Adebayo / Getty Images

How to Watch Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz?

  • Date: Saturday 24th January 2026 
  • Start time: 7:30 pm local time (2:30 am BST) 
  • Venue: Celta Center, Salt Lake City
  • TV/Streaming: Jazz+, Prime Video, DAZN, NBA League Pass 
  • Records: Miami Heat 21-20, Utah Jazz 14-27

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

  1. Miami Heat: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%

  2. Utah Jazz: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%

    Forecast odds – Betting available on Hard Rock Bet closer to event

Head-to-Head Record

Throughout NBA regular-season history, the Utah Jazz and Miami Heat have played 76 matches. As it stands, the Jazz have a slightly favorable record, winning 40 games compared to the Heat’s 36.  

Last 5 Matches:

SeasonDateResult
2024-25 SeasonJanuary 9, 2025Miami Heat 97-92 Utah Jazz
2024-25 SeasonJanuary 4, 2025Utah Jazz 136-100 Miami Heat
2023-24 SeasonMarch 2, 2024Miami Heat 126-120 Utah Jazz
2023-24 SeasonDecember 30, 2023Utah Jazz 117-109 Miami Heat
2022-23 SeasonMarch 13, 2023Miami Heat 119-115 Utah Jazz
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Miami Heat Recent Form & Key Stats – WLWLL

  • Record : 21-20
  • Home Form : 14-7
  • Road Form : 7-13

The Miami Heat’s form has dwindled, losing two games in a row at the time of writing. The organization’s home form is one of the best in the league, but their form on the road explains why they are positioned eighth in the East. For this game against Golden State, it’s important to note that they are traveling west. 

Miami Heat Offense vs. Utah Jazz Defense

Despite holding a 21-20 record, which is slightly above .500, the Heat ranks among the NBA’s most efficient teams in production, averaging 28.5 assists per game. That figure places them seventh overall. 

The Heat’s scoring power is one of their strengths, too, averaging 119.4 points per game, ranking fifth in the league based on this metric. It’s eerily similar to the Jazz’s averages, as only a 0.1 point average distinguishes both organizations in scoring. 

Key Players to Watch

  • Bam Adebayo (Center) – While Adebayo is averaging only 16.8 points per game, numbers that are his worst since his third NBA season, his defensive consistency remains ever so important. His 9.7 rebounds per game place him as one of the best rebounders in the league. He’s considered the Heat’s biggest star within their roster. 
  • Tyler Herro (Guard) – Herro has officially returned from his injury and has only played ten matches. He’s averaging 21.9 points per game but will inevitably improve and find his feet this season. 
  • Norman Powell (Guard) – Powell is the face of the franchise in scoring this season, averaging a career-high 23.9 points per game. The 32-year-old is playing as a key starter for the first time in his career, and the veteran plays a key role in the final production. 

Injury Report:

  • Terry Rozier – Out (immediate leave)
  • Davion Mitchell – Out (left shoulder contusion)
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. – Out (knee irritation) 

Utah Jazz Recent Form & Key Stats – WLWLL

  • Record : 14-27
  • Home Form : 9-12
  • Road Form : 5-15

The Utah Jazz have won two of their last five games, but they have the joint-worst record in the Western Conference over the last ten games. The franchise is still in contention for the play-in due to how close the West is, but they need to change their fortunes around in order to get there. 

Utah Jazz – Offense vs Miami Heat Defense

Despite the 14-27 record, the Jazz are sixth in the points per game averages, producing 119.3 per game. This metric is a significant jump from their 2024 averages of 11.9, yet the Jazz find themselves in the lower seeding in their conference.

In addition, the Jazz are one of the most team-first rosters in the league, ranked second with an average of 30.1 assists per game. They are behind only the Atlanta Hawks, but this stat shows that a no-egos approach to basketball provides more output in their offensive output details. 

Key Players to Watch

  • Lauri Markkanen (Forward) – At the time of writing, Markkanen is out due to illness, but he could return for the matchup with the Heat. He’s by far their most talented player, averaging 27.9 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. This is his best year by far on shooting. 
  • Keyonte George (Guard) – In his third season in the NBA, George has really raised his game. He’s averaging 23.8 points, 6.9 assists, and 4.2 rebounds, all numbers that are career bests. He’s still only 22 and is showing impressive growth.  
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Center) – Nurkic is on another roster, but he’s proving useful on both sides of the court. An average of 10.4 points and 10 rebounds per game is close to his career-long metric, and his versatility is an important asset. 

Injury Report:

  • Walker Kessler – Out (left shoulder surgery, will miss season)
  • Georges Niang – Out (foot)
  • Elijah Harkless – Out
  • Lauri Markkanen – Out (illness)

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Miami Heat

    Guard: Dru Smith
    Guard: Tyler Herro
    Center: Bam Adebayo
    Forward: Norman Powell 
    Forward: Andrew Wiggins 

  2. Utah Jazz

    Guard: Keynonte George 
    Guard: Cody Williams
    Center: Jusuf Nurkic
    Forward: Ace Bailey
    Forward: Taylor Hendricks

Value Bets

Value bets are about backing the lines that look slightly off based on recent form, matchups, and who is available. Before tip-off, compare prices across the best online betting sites in the USA so you’re not taking a worse number than you need to.

  1. Total Points: Over 245.5: Both the Heat and the Jazz have two of the best-ranked offenses in the entire league. Therefore, we predict this matchup to be a high-scoring affair.

  2. Tyler Herro to post at least 20 points: Herro has played nine times against the Jazz in his career, posting an average of 21.7 points per game. We predict him to replicate this, posting 20 points.  

  3. Heat to Win: Miami’s form is better, but their starting five within their roster is close to fully healthy. 

Why the Miami Heat Can Win

  • Miami has a lot more offensive options available to them because they have very few injuries to deal with.  
  • The Heat have had a better recent run of form in the league this season. 
  • Tyler Herro’s return from injury is hugely significant to the Heat’s offense. 

Expert Prediction:

We select the Miami Heat to take victory against the Utah Jazz. Although both teams’ offenses rank among the highest in the league, I choose the Heat due to their stronger overall record and recent form, which are significant factors in this matchup. The Jazz’s playoff aspirations hang in the balance if they lose this game.  

Henry Cheal
Henry ChealSports Writer

Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.