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Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Preview: Odds, Tips & Prediction

Date: Tuesday, 13th January 2026 Start time: 7:30 pm local time (12:30 am BST) Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami TV/Streaming: Prime Video, DAZN, NBA League Pass Records: Miami Heat 19-16, Phoenix Suns 20-14 The Miami Heat will host the Phoenix Suns as both teams are looking to cement a playoff place within their respective conference. The Heat and the Suns are both seventh, and both franchises will be looking to climb further up the table and seal a crucial win. Which team prevails? Explore our recommended NBA betting sites, which are known for giving new customers the best opportunities to earn big wins.

Henry Cheal

Sports Writer

Last updated: 2026-01-05

Fact checked by:

Chad Nagel

Sports & Betting Editor

5 minutes read

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Bam Adebayo #13 of the Miami Heat reacts during the first quarter

Bam Adebayo #13 / Getty Images

Table of Contents

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability:

Phoenix Suns: 4/6 (1.67) – 60.0%
Miami Heat: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.0%
Forecast odds – Betting available on bet365 closer to event

Head-to-Head Record

This matchup between the Eastern and Western Conference franchises has produced only 73 regular-season games in NBA history. The Phoenix Suns have won 40 of those games, compared to the Heat’s 33.

Last 5 Matches:

Season	Date	Result
2024-25 Season	December 7, 2024	Miami Heat 121-111 Phoenix Suns
2024-25 Season	November 6, 2024	Phoenix Suns 115-112 Miami Heat
2023-24 Season	January 29, 2024	Phoenix Suns 118-105 Miami Heat
2023-24 Season	January 5, 2024	Phoenix Suns 113-97 Miami Heat
2022-23 Season	January 6, 2023	Miami Heat 104-96 Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns Form & Key Stats – WWWLW

Record	Home Form	Road Form
20-14	11-5	9-9

The Phoenix Suns are 20-14 for the season and are ranked seventh in the West. They are battling for the final playoff spots in a close-knit conference. The franchise has a winning record at home, but is the lowest-ranked team with a record at exactly .500 away from the state of Arizona.

Phoenix Suns – Offense vs Miami Heat

The Suns sit 20th in the NBA in scoring at 115.5 points per game, a number that could prove decisive against the Heat’s defensive unit. Miami will need to be at its best defensively to slow down Phoenix’s offensive threats.

Beyond scoring, the Suns also ranked 20th in assists per game at 25.4, a surprising figure given the star power on their roster. This lack of consistent ball movement has at times limited their offensive efficiency, placing added pressure on individual scorers to create opportunities.

Key Players to Watch

Devin Booker (Guard) – Booker continues to produce the goods in purple and orange, averaging 25.7 points for the season. In addition, he’s producing 6.3 assists and 3.1 rebounds, all numbers that match his career averages.
Dillon Brooks (Forward) – Brooks joined the organization in the offseason, yet is operating at personal best levels in scoring. He’s averaging 21.4 points per game, numbers that place him 29th in the league.
Mark Williams (Center) – Another offseason addition, Williams, is proving to be an important figure at center. The 24-year-old moved to Phoenix from the Charlotte Hornets and is leading the franchise in rebounds, averaging 8.3 per game.

Injury Report

Grayson Allen – Out (knee)
Jalen Green – Out (hamstring)

Miami Heat Form & Key Stats – WWWWL

Record	Home Form	Road Form
19-16	12-6	7-10

The Miami Heat have won four of their last five games, giving their season early momentum, though questions remain about how dangerous they would be in a playoff series.

Despite holding a 19-16 record, Miami ranks among the NBA’s most efficient teams in ball movement, averaging 28.7 assists per game. That figure places them seventh league-wide and underlines their ability to create offense through unselfish play.

Miami Heat Offense vs. Phoenix Suns Defense

The Heat are averaging an impressive 120.7 points per game, ranking third in the league based on scoring averages. This is something that carries extra significance against the Suns for this matchup.

Key Players to Watch

Norman Powell (Guard) – Powell leads the team in scoring this season, averaging 24.1 points per game. This ranks him 21st in the league. The 32-year-old appears to be performing at one of the highest levels of his career.
Bam Adebayo (Center) – While Adebayo is averaging a career-low 17.4 points per game since the 2019–20 season, his defensive consistency remains crucial. His 9.7 rebounds per game rank him firmly within the league’s top 10.
Tyler Herro (Guard) – It’s unknown when he will be back from injury, but he’s a key offensive operator for the Heat. He’s averaging 23.2 points per game, so when he’s back on the court, Miami will be slightly better as a result.

Injury Report:

Terry Rozier – Out (immediate leave)
Tyler Herro – Out (toe)
Pelle Larsson – Out (ankle)
Nikola Jovic – Day-to-day (groin)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. – Day-to-day (ankle)
Bam Adebayo – Day-to-day (lower back soreness)

Predicted Line-Ups

Phoenix Suns
Guard: Collin Gillespie
Guard: Devin Booker
Center: Mark Williams
Forward: Royce O’Neale
Forward: Dillon Brooks
Miami Heat
Guard: Davion Mitchell
Guard: Norman Powell
Center: Bam Adebayo
Forward: Andrew Wiggins
Forward: Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Value Bets

Before you place these picks, use leading betting sites in the USA and compare the lines across a few legal options. A small change in the total or player points line can turn a good bet into a bad one, so it’s worth checking the best number first.

Total Points: Under 241.5: Although the Heat have an efficient offense, this matchup won’t be that high of a scoring game.
Devin Booker to post at least 20 points: Across his entire career, Booker has averaged 23.3 points per game in 18 matches. His ultra-consistency makes him a key player, as he’s propped up 20 points or more in his last 7 games.

Why the Phoenix Suns can Win:

The Suns have a stronger offensive unit comprising Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks.
The Heat might not have Tyler Herro available for this game. He would be a big miss if he’s still ineligible.
Phoenix have won three of their last five games against Miami.

Expert Prediction: Phoenix Suns to Win

In conclusion, I back the Phoenix Suns to come out on top. The franchise is in slightly better form, in addition to having won three of their last five encounters with Miami. This should be a very intriguing and close game given their similar standings in their respective divisions, but the Suns will win at Miami’s home ground.

Henry ChealSports Writer

Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.