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Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: Sunday 8th February 2026 Tip-Off Time: 8 pm local time (1 am BST) Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida TV: ESPN Streaming: Prime Video, DAZN, NBA League Pass Records: Miami Heat 29-27, Memphis Grizzlies 20-33 Referee: N/A Last Meeting: Miami Heat 146-114 Memphis Grizzlies (Oct 24th, 2025) The Miami Heat and the Memphis Grizzlies face off for the second time this season on Saturday night. The Heat are eighth in the East, whereas the Grizzlies are 11th in the West. Which team will win this clash? SportsBoom provides the best sportsbook insights and recommends that you explore the NBA wagering sites on offer.

Henry Cheal
Henry Cheal

Last updated: 2026-02-17

Chad Nagel

7 minutes read

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Bam Adebayo (L) #13 of the Miami Heat and Tyler Herro #14 of the Miami Heat reacts

Bam Adebayo (L) #13 and Tyler Herro #14 reacts / Getty Images

Pre-Game Odds and Win PrPre-Game Odds and Win Probabilityobability

  1. Miami Heat: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%

  2. Memphis Grizzlies: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%

  3. Forecast odds – Betting available on BetMGM closer to event

Head-to-Head Record

The Miami Heat and the Memphis Grizzlies are a relatively new matchup in the NBA, with the first matchup taking place in 1995. Since then, 58 games have taken place, with Miami winning the overall head-to-head with 31 victories. Memphis, however, have won 27 games

Last Five Matches:

SeasonDateResult
2025-26 SeasonOctober 24, 2025Miami Heat 146-114 Memphis Grizzlies  
2024-25 SeasonApril 3, 2025Memphis Grizzlies 110-108 Miami Heat 
2024-25 SeasonMarch 15, 2025Memphis Grizzlies 125-91 Miami Heat
2023-24 SeasonJanuary 24, 2024Memphis Grizzlies 105-96 Miami Heat
2023-24 SeasonNovember 8, 2023Miami Heat 108-102 Memphis Grizzlies 
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Miami Heat – LLWLW (Last Five Results)

Overall Record: 29-27
Home Form: 16-11
Road Form: 13-16    

The Miami Heat’s form has dwindled, losing two games in a row at the time of writing. The organization’s home form is one of the best in the league, but their form on the road explains why they are positioned eighth in the East. For this game against Golden State, it’s important to note that they are traveling west. 
The Miami Heat have won exactly five of their last ten games at the time of writing, which perfectly sums up their season. The team is struggling to secure a solid playoff position, sitting just above .500. They need to find some consistent form to boost their chances; otherwise, they may have to settle for a spot in the play-in. 

Miami Heat Offense vs Memphis Grizzlies Defense

Despite holding a 29-27 record, which is slightly above .500, the Heat ranks among the NBA’s most efficient teams in production, averaging 28.6 assists per game. That figure places them eighth overall, but more importantly, fifth in the East. 

The Heat’s scoring power is one of their strengths, too, averaging 119.6 points per game, ranking fifth in the league. These numbers show that their offense isn’t the problem, as Miami has one of the best all-round offenses in the league based on these two stat lines. 

Key Players to Watch

  • Tyler Herro (Guard) – Herro has had a tough year with injuries, which is why he’s only started 10 games this season. But when he plays, he’s averaging close to his career bests. 21.9 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 2.7 assists show his skill set. 
  • Bam Adebayo (Center) – Adebayo has stepped up in the points per game totals, averaging 18.4, which has helped the Heat, considering he’s always consistent on defense. His 9.9 rebounds per game place him as one of the best rebounders in the league. 
  • Norman Powell (Guard) – Powell is the face of the franchise in scoring this season, averaging 23.0 points per game. The 32-year-old is playing as a key starter for the first time in his career, and the veteran plays a key role in the final production. 

Injury Report:

  • Terry Rozier – Out (immediate leave)
  • Norman Powell – Out (back)
  • Tyler Herro – Out (ribs) 
  • Pelle Larsson – Out (elbow)
  • Andrew Wiggins – Out (toe)

Memphis Grizzlies – WLLLL (Last Five Results)

Overall Record: 20-33
Home Form: 10-15
Road Form: 9-17

The Memphis Grizzlies’ current run of form places them as one of the worst teams in the league. The organization have won just two of their last ten NBA games, including a current four-game losing streak. They still have a chance at claiming a play-in place, but Memphis will ultimately have to switch on to make that happen. .

Memphis Grizzlies Offense vs Miami Heat Defense

The Grizzlies rank 17th in the league in scoring, averaging 115.3 points per game, placing them in the middle of the pack. The organization doesn’t quite have enough scoring power to contend with the higher-seeding teams, implying they need to find ways to score more efficiently.

That said, the franchise is one of the most team-first teams in the league, averaging 28.7 assists per game. This stat line places them sixth overall, and these are numbers that underline their unselfish approach on the offensive end.

Key Players to Watch

  • Ja Morant (Guard) – Although he’s been battling injuries this season, Morant has produced an output of 19.5 points and 8.1 assists per game. While this is his worst season in scoring in many years, Morant is capable of explosive games.  
  • Santi Aldama (Forward) – Aldama is posting his career-best metrics in all three major stat lines, averaging 14 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game. He will play a key role as the regular season starts to reach its climax.  
  • Ty Jerome (Guard) – He’s played six games after joining only a matter of a few weeks ago, but Jerome has proved to be their best scorer in recent weeks. He’s averaging 19.7 points and 6 assists per game, career best numbers by a country mile. 

Injury Report

  • Cedric Coward – Out (knee)
  • Ja Morant – Out (elbow)
  • Walter Clayton Jr. – Out (calf)
  • Santi Aldama – Out (knee) 
  • Zach Edey – Out (left ankle)
  • Brandon Clarke – Out (grade 2 right calf strain)

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Miami Heat

    Guard: Davion Mitchell
    Guard: Dru Smith
    Center: Bam Adebayo
    Forward: Jaime Jaquez Jr.  
    Forward: Simone Fontecchio  

  2. Memphis Grizzlies

    Guard: Ty Jerome 
    Guard: Cam Spencer
    Center: Kyle Anderson
    Forward: Jaylen Wells
    Forward: GG Jackson   

Value Bets

  1. Total Points: Under 241.5: Both teams are dealing with plenty of injuries, leading us to believe this will be a lower-scoring game.  

  2. Bam Adebayo to post at least 20 points and at least 5 rebounds: Bam Adebayo is a key player for the Heat in this encounter. He’s averaged at least 20 points in five of his last seven matches, providing us with this prediction. 

  3. Heat to Win: The Heat have already won this contest earlier this season. 

Why the Miami Heat can win:

  • The Heat have already won this contest earlier this season. 
  • Miami is notoriously tough to play against on their home turf. 
  • The Grizzlies’ recent form is extremely poor. 

Expert Prediction: Miami Heat to Win

SportsBoom predicts that the Miami Heat will win this matchup with the Memphis Grizzlies. The Heat may have injuries all over their roster, but their recent form should give them the edge in this game. The organization has also defeated Memphis this season already, which bolsters our thought process. 

Henry Cheal
Henry ChealSports Betting Writer

Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.

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