2026 Genesis Invitational Preview: Odds, Tips & Predictions (Riviera)

We take a deep dive into everything you need to know ahead of the Genesis Invitational, including the latest odds and betting picks for the February showpiece on the PGA Tour calendar. With the action getting underway from February 19 – 22 from Riviera, where else would you need to go? Besides, of course, the top online golf betting sites!

Ryan Liberty

Betting Writer

Last updated: 2026-02-03

Fact checked by:

Chad Nagel

Sports & Betting Editor

5 minutes read

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Rory McIlroy of Northern Ireland plays his shot from the 12th tee

Rory McIlroy plays his shot from the 12th tee/ Getty Images

Table of Contents

Where to Watch the Genesis Invitational 2026?

Here is a summary of the official US TV and streaming schedule for the Invitational.

Day	Streaming (ESPN+)	TV (Golf Channel / CBS)
Thursday	7:30 a.m. – 1:00 p.m.	1:00 – 5:00 p.m.
Friday	7:30 a.m. – 1:00 p.m.	1:00 – 5:00 p.m.
Saturday	7:00 – 10:00 a.m.	10:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m. / CBS 12–4 p.m.
Sunday	6:30 – 10:00 a.m.	10:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m. / CBS 12–3:30 p.m.

Latest Odds and Win Probability (Outright Winner)

Here are the early favourites for the 2026 Genesis Invitational. We have curated a list after consulting the major golf sportsbook who have already published their outright betting markets.

Player	BetMGM	DraftKings	FanDuel
Scottie Scheffler	+650	+600	+620
Rory McIlroy	+800	+750	+780
Collin Morikawa	+1200	+1300	+1250
Justin Thomas	+1400	+1500	+1450
Ludvig Åberg	+2200	+2000	+2100
Sungjae Im	+2800	+3000	+2900
Tom Kim	+3000	+3300	+3100

Riviera Course Fit: What Actually Matters for Bettors

For many pundits, this course presents a unique challenge to players. It is a par 71, but it is without question a course that tests the precision and patience of even the very best.

Turf and Turf Interaction

Unpredictable is often a word used most often in this course. The fairways are tricky to find, but the rough and green are simply unforgiving to any sort of visitor.

What Wins Here

Patience and the ability to hold steady approach shots will find incredible value at this course. It really is as simple as that.

Skill Set Edge

Of course, every player at this tournament is among the very best in the world. However, at a course with this level of unpredictability, precision off the tee and a patient and yet consistent approach game is likely to hold incredible value here.

Contenders to Watch

Favourites

Scottie Scheffler
His so-called tee-to-green game and ability are simply second to none. If he is able to replicate his best golf and play with brutal aggression, he will no doubt be one of the players to watch here.
Rory McIlroy
He comes into this tournament playing some of his best golf, so leaving him out of the conversation could be betting suicide. Follow Rory’s game this weekend and be sure to include him in all your bets.

Challengers

Collin Morikawa
When you consider his elite iron game, it becomes incredibly difficult to leave him out of your weekend betting. He will certainly put up a decent fight, and so including him will always offer value.
Justin Thomas
He is always a threat, but the inconsistency of his iron game holds a question mark over his head. The benefit of Thomas is that you will always enjoy decent value around a player with world-class ability.
Sungjae IM
His ball striking ability always keeps him there and thereabout. There aren’t many who would be surprised to see him sneak into a top finish. Leave him out at your peril.

Outsiders

Tom Kim
He won’t be a name on everyone’s lips, but given his ability to be intricate around tricky greens, suggests that if he is able to play his best golf, he could become an outside shout here.
Ludvig Aberg
The defending champion will have a tough ask here, but he is a player who never shy’s aways from playing with confidence and riding momentum when it is there.

Suggested Bets

Before you lock in the picks below, it’s worth taking 30 seconds to compare odds across a few US betting sites and check the final tee times and weather. Small changes can shift value quickly, especially for placements and head-to-heads.

Top 10 Finish: Collin Morikawa (DraftKings +340). It is a bet on the safer side, but at the risk of becoming repetitive, his consistent ball striking and course fitness make him a solid pick here.
Outright: Scottie Scheffler (FanDuel +620). He is the favorite with elite stats across key Riviera areas. If all the signs are there, why ignore them?
Matchup Bet: Tom Kim over H2H opponent (BetMGM). His irons and playing comfort give him an edge in head-to-head offerings. We back him to outperform whoever his partner is.

Value Bets

Here are betting angles that provide higher betting odds for the riskier punter.

Our Longshot Outright: Sungjae Im (+2900). He has arguably one of the best short games on the circuit. At these odds, we wouldn’t even try to dissuade you from having a punt on IM.
First-Round Leader (FRL) Punt: Tom Kim (BetMGM +4500). He is a player with an uncompromising short game. If he gets off to a flyer, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him find the number one spot after the first round.
Make-Cut: Ludvig Åberg H2H (DraftKings +180) His recent win seems to suggest this betting price is an absolute joke. Take advantage of it while you still can.

2026 Genesis Invitational Prediction

For us, our selection takes us toward backing Scottie Scheffler to find his best form and claim yet another trophy on the tour. His discipline and patience on the course make his consistency seem like an absolute dream. There is no question he has the ability; for us, he is the strong pick come this weekend.