Betting
2026 Farmers Insurance Open Preview: Tips, Odds, and Prediction (Torrey Pines)
The 2026 edition of the Farmers Insurance Open gets underway from Thursday, January 29, and Sunday, February 1, from the Torrey Pines Golf Course in California. This is another rotation-style tournament, featuring arguably one of the most challenging courses on the PGA Tour. For fans and bettors wanting to put some money on the outcomes, ensuring you understand the course and the player will be key to your success. Here is a closer look at everything you need to know before finalizing your golf bets.
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Harris English / Getty Images
Where to Watch Farmers Insurance Open 2026?
Coverage | Network / Platform |
Rounds 1–2 | GOLF Channel |
Rounds 3–4 | CBS |
All rounds (streaming) | PGA TOUR LIVE on ESPN+ |
CBS seems to be the safest platform to watch the tournament, but coverage throughout various regions has been split between alternative broadcasters. We suggest enquiring with your local sports broadcaster.
Latest Odds and Win Probability
Here is a look at the early online betting odds available for outright winners of the tournament. While these prices are accurate, we suggest consulting the final field just before tee-off for the latest changes.
Player | Odds | Implied Win % |
Scottie Scheffler | +550 | 15.4% |
Rory McIlroy | +900 | 10.0% |
Xander Schauffele | +1200 | 7.7% |
Collin Morikawa | +1600 | 5.9% |
Max Homa | +2000 | 4.8% |
Ludvig Åberg | +2200 | 4.3% |
Hideki Matsuyama | +2800 | 3.4% |
Harris English | +3500 | 2.8% |
A gentle reminder and possible pro-tip: this is a course that rewards patience and a calculated approach to play. Do not fall into the trap of simply backing the big hitters or fireworks players.
Torrey Pines Course Fit
This is a tournament that uses a two-course rotation during the opening rounds, although the TorreyPines South Course is the primary course, which sees the final round played there.
It is an incredibly long course, one of the longest on the PGA Tour, sitting at around 7765 yards – and it remains an unforgiving surface for players.
For us, before making your final predictions on the outcome of the tournament, these are a few factors worth considering.
The fairways are largely uneven and likely favour the stronger ball-strikers. The greens only add to the already volatile nature of the course, and there are a few courses where the weather (the wind) plays such a great role.
The reality here is that the recipe to success doesn’t exactly jump off the page or gauge any real degree of excitement. It's patient, simple tee-to-green golf, and attacking any opportunity that presents itself.
Contenders to Watch
The Firm Favourites
- Scottie Scheffler
His playing style is a perfect fit for Torrey Pines. His consistency and lack of exaggerated effort on the course often result in Scheffler remaining relevant throughout the weekend. He will be one to keep your eye on here. - Rory McIlroy
His ability to be competitive with distances will likely play to his advantage on the longer par fours and fives. In recent seasons, his patience has been seen to develop, and when he is able to contain his emotions and keep his head is a dangerous player on the course.
Dark Horse
- Colin Morikawa
He isn’t the strongest player on the course, and he isn’t going to try and bully his way through the field. His precision and ability to keep calm under pressure will come in handy on the greens – he is a player due for a big performance. - Ludvig Aberg
He will benefit from the experience here, but count him out at your peril. His course management is second to none, and at a tournament which is so often unpredictable, players like Aberg could just grab the opportunity.
Outside Chance
- Harris English
He is the defending champion at this venue, but up against a tough field, he will need to be at his best to remain relevant. Nevertheless, he has shown he can rise to the challenge, so keep an eye on him over this weekend. - Jason Day
He is an interesting player here. He has done a lot to improve his health, and he comes to a course where he has enjoyed playing. He isn’t going to be a player who grabs all the headlines, but that is exactly the approach we think benefits from this course.
Suggested Bets
Xander Schauffele Top 10 Finish
This is a safer bet, the sort of bet suitable for those weekly multiples or a straight bet. His consistency makes him a serious contender, but a top 10 finish might be the safer play.Collin Morikawa (Outright Win)
Slightly riskier, but certainly a bet worth taking. If he can remain competitive on the green, he will be a serious player to watch on the last day.
Value Bets
Here is a look at some betting angles worth considering for the punter wanting a little more value.
Ludvig Aberg (First Round Leader)
At the risk of sounding repetitive, his ability to stay calm and score vital points at times makes him one to watch. Back Aberg to get off to a flyer and lead the pack after the first round.
2026 Farmers Insurance Open Prediction
Our betting prediction here is backing Collin Morikawa to win the whole thing. His calm approach and calculated shot selection simply endear him to this course and its demands. He has what it takes to grind out the so-called gritty wins; back him to find one here.
FAQs
The 2026 edition runs from Thursday, January 29, to Sunday, February 1.
The length, rough, greens, and coastal wind create a demanding test that rewards elite tee-to-green play.
Top 10 and Top 20 bets and make-the-cut markets often prove to be safer without compromising on the price.
Updated PGA Tour betting odds are available at major US sportsbooks like DraftKings throughout tournament week.
Ryan Liberty is an experienced sports writer whose work has been featured in a range of well-known sports publications.