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U.S. Sportsbooks Are Likely to Break Their All-Time Hold Record This Summer

U.S. sportsbooks are tracking toward a new all-time high in national hold percentage, with industry data pointing to June or July 2026 as the likeliest month to surpass the 12.4% record set in June 2025.

3 minutes read
Chad Nagel
Chad Nagel
Sports Betting & Casino Editor
Bruce Douglas
Sports Betting Writer

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U.S. Sportsbooks Are Likely to Break Their All-Time Hold Record This Summer

U.S. Sportsbooks Are Likely to Break Their All-Time Hold Record This Summer

The American Gaming Association's (AGA) revenue tracker shows the trajectory moving in that direction. In April 2026 sports betting revenue hit $1.49 billion on a $13.39 billion handle, with national hold climbing to 11.1%, up from 9.3% in April 2025.

U.S. Sportsbooks

The American Gaming Association's (AGA) revenue tracke

That's still shy of the post-PASPA record in June 2025, which saw a 12.4% national hold with roughly $1.3 billion in revenue. [1] New York alone posted a 12.5% win rate, breaking its previous high of 11.5% from August and September 2022. [2] Twenty-three states cleared 12% that month, and nine topped 14%.

Parlays are the recipe for high margins and aren’t going anywhere

Americans are changing how they bet, and the books couldn’t be happier as they abandon the moneyline for more exotic options. SGPs, which carry a house edge that can run 20% to 35% compared with roughly 4.5% on a standard point-spread wager, have grown from under 20% of total sportsbook revenue in 2021 to an estimated 35-40% today. 

That transition has pushed the average hold from the 6-7% range in 2021 to 9-11% in 2025. Massachusetts' April 2026 report showed FanDuel holding 13.40% and DraftKings 13.12%, as these books are deriving the majority of their handle from parlays. [3]

Why summer is the money-printing month

Even though NFL betting dominates national handle by sheer volume, a large share of the volume is dedicated to lower-margin straight bets on spreads and totals, which puts downward pressure on the overall hold. Summer betting is more focused on baseball, where prop-driven and same-game tickets make up a disproportionate share of the smaller handle.

This is what we saw last June, when the pro baseball hold rate jumped to 7.7%, up from 3.9% the year before, while the NBA Finals overlapping with a full MLB schedule gave operators a cross-sport parlay-building window. It's why June set records two years running (11.2% in June 2024, then 12.4% in June 2025).

Early positive signs for 2026 are brewing

Results through May are consistent with an upward trend. NY's mobile hold reached 10.15% in May 2026, which is a sizeable jump up from 8.93% a year earlier and its highest May figure in four seasons [4]. Iowa and Maryland also posted year-over-year hold gains in May, while Connecticut and Pennsylvania ran softer.

Thanks to a captivating NBA Finals, which had everyone in the US transform into Knicks fans, and the soccer World Cup kicking off, June 2026 looks like the perfect setup for a new monthly hold record, and we’re predicting it to breach the 13% mark!

Chad Nagel
Chad NagelSports Betting & Casino Editor

Chad Nagel is a passionate sports fanatic who has worked in the sports and betting industry for over a decade. He spent most of his career as an editor-in-chief for Soccer Betting News, South Africa’s leading soccer betting newspaper, owned by Hollywoodbets. His articles have also featured in some of the most respected sports media platforms in the world, such as SPORTbible, Sports Illustrated, Combat Sports UK, and many others.

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References

  1. 1.Commercial Gaming Revenue Tracke - American Gaming Association. Published June 17, 2026. Accessed June 23, 2026
  2. 2.State of States 2026 - American Gaming Association. Published May 12, 2026. Accessed June 23, 2026
  3. 3.NY Mobile Sports Betting May 2026: $2.26B Handle, $229M GGR - RG.org. Published June 9, 2026. Accessed June 23, 2026
  4. 4.[4] Massachusetts Sports Betting April 2026: $678M Handle Report - RG.org. Published May 2026. Accessed June 23, 2026

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