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Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: Sunday 5th April 2026 Tip-Off Time: 7 pm local time (3:00 am BST) Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco TV: NBC Sports Bay Area Streaming: Prime Video, DAZN, NBA League Pass Records: Houston Rockets 44-29, Golden State Warriors 36-38 Referee: N/A Last Meeting: Golden State Warriors 115-113 Houston Rockets (March 5th, 2026) The Houston Rockets and the Golden State Warriors face off in this Western Conference battle. Both teams have officially secured a spot in the postseason, but the Rockets remain in the middle of a tight playoff race, while the Warriors are looking to close the season on a high note and improve their seeding. Who wins? SportsBoom recommends the following NBA betting platforms.

published: 03-31-2026

Last updated: 03-31-2026

Henry Cheal
Henry Cheal
Sports Betting Writer
Chad Nagel
Sports Betting & Casino Editor

5 minutes read

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Kevin Durant #7 of the Houston Rockets reacts against the Utah Jazz

Kevin Durant #7 of the Houston Rockets reacts against the Utah Jazz / Getty Images

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability:

  1. Golden State Warriors: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.7%

  2. Houston Rockets: 6/4 (2.50) – 38.3%

  3. Forecast odds – Betting available on FanDuel closer to event

Head-to-Head Record

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Throughout NBA regular-season history, this fixture has taken place on 240 occasions. The Warriors have only won 111 times, despite winning 15 in a row prior to the Rockets’ win in December 2024. However, that said, the Rockets have produced 129 victories over the years. 

Last Five Matches:

SeasonDateResult
2025-26 SeasonMarch 5, 2026Golden State Warriors 115-113 Houston Rockets
2025-26 SeasonNovember 26, 2025Houston Rockets 104-100 Golden State Warriors
2024-25 SeasonApril 6, 2025Houston Rockets 106-96 Golden State Warriors
2024-25 SeasonFebruary 13, 2025Golden State Warriors 105-98 Houston Rockets
2024-25 SeasonDecember 11, 2024Houston Rockets 91-90 Golden State Warriors
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Houston Rockets – WLLWW (Last Five Results)

Record

Home Form

Road Form

45-29

25-10

20-19

The Houston Rockets’ recent NBA form has seen them drop from the third to the sixth seed in the Western Conference, after winning just half of their last ten matches. A playoff place is almost confirmed, but they need to end the year on a high note to ensure qualification. If not, they will have to try to make it via the play-in. 

Houston Rockets Offense vs Golden State Warriors Defense

Averaging 114.4 points per game, the Rockets rank 20th in the league offensively, which ranks them one place behind Golden State. This makes this matchup all the more intriguing, considering both teams’ offense is relatively evenly matched.

Key Players to Watch

  • Kevin Durant (Forward) – Durant’s greatness is obvious due to his consistency, averaging 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game. He remains one of the NBA’s most efficient scorers this season, proving that even at 37, he is still one of the best. He recently claimed fifth spot in most points scored in NBA history.  
  • Amen Thompson (Guard) – Thompson continues to shine in his third NBA season, averaging 17.9 points, 7.9 rebounds, and 5.2 assists per game. These are impressive figures for someone so soon into his NBA career, highlighting how much he adds value on both sides of the court. 
  • Alperen Sengun (Center) – Although his production is worse than last season on rebounds, he’s averaging a career high on assists. 20.7 points, 9 rebounds, and 6.2 assists place him in the top 35 in all three major departments. He’s only 23, so he will only improve. 

Injury Report

  • Steven Adams – Out (season-ending left ankle)
  • Fred VanVleet – Out (season-ending torn ACL)

Golden State Warriors – LWWWL (Last Five Results)

Record

Home Form

Road Form

36-39

21-15

15-24

The Golden State Warriors have confirmed a place in the postseason despite their worrying lack of form. They’ve won four of their last ten games, but need to start gaining confidence ahead of the play-in. The franchise isn’t likely to go far in the postseason, but could spring up some surprises. 

Golden State Warriors Offense vs Houston Rockets Defense

As already stated, both teams are very close in average points per game scores, but the Warriors are significantly higher than the Rockets in assists. The Warriors are fourth in the league, averaging 29 assists per game, while Houston is 24th with 25.1 assists. This shows the Warriors are more efficient at producing across the wider roster.

Key Players to Watch

  • Stephen Curry (Guard) – Curry is proving that age is only a number, as at the age of 38, he’s averaging 27.2 points per game this year. But because of his injuries, he’s only played 39 games this season, so just over half of the season so far. It’s unclear when he will return, but if he’s fit for the postseason, he will be a big help. 
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Center) – Porzingis joined Golden State at the trade deadline and has made seven starts thus far. He’s averaging 17.6 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game. 
  • Brandin Podziemski (Guard) – Podziemski has played the most games this season, featuring in 75 games this year. He’s averaging 13.3 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 2.5 assists. He’s not a highly efficient operator, but his durability is key. 

Injury Report

  • Quinten Post – Day-to-day (foot)
  • Stephen Curry – Out (knee) 
  • Moses Moody – Out (torn patellar tendon) 
  • Al Horford – Out (right soleus strain) 
  • Jimmy Butler III – Out (torn right ACL)

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Houston Rockets

    Guard: Amen Thompson
    Guard: Reed Sheppard
    Center: Alperen Sengun
    Forward: Jabari Smith Jr. 
    Forward: Kevin Durant

  2. Golden State Warriors

    Guard: Brandin Podziemski   
    Guard: De’Anthony Melton
    Center: Draymond Green 
    Forward: Will Richard
    Forward: Kristaps Porzingis   

Value Bets

  1. Total Points: Over 236.5: This game will reach over 236.5 points because both teams will be gunning to improve their current form.  

  2. Kevin Durant to post at least 25 points: Kevin Durant always turns up against his former employer, the Golden State Warriors. We predict he will produce at least 25 points. 

  3. Rockets to Win: The Rockets have won three of the last five fixtures.     

Why the Houston Rockets can win:

  • The Rockets have won three of the last five fixtures.    
  • Houston will be able to take advantage of Golden State’s depleted roster. 
  • The Rockets have a better record in the league. 

Prediction: Houston Rockets to win

To conclude this preview, SportsBoom believes the Houston Rockets will win this matchup. The Rockets have won three of the last five fixtures in this particular game. But crucially, they have a far stronger roster after evaluating their injury report, meaning they should prevail.  

Henry Cheal
Henry ChealSports Betting Writer

Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.

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