Betting
New England Patriots vs New York Jets Tips, Odds and Prediction
Date: Saturday 28th December 2025 Start time: 1 pm local time (6 pm BST) Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey Last regular season meeting: December 19, 2021, Green Bay Packers 31-30 Baltimore Ravens The New England Patriots and the New York Jets lock horns in this AFC East matchup, facing off for a second time this season. With the Patriots on the brink of securing a playoff spot and the Jets already out of contention, fans checking the top US betting sites will be watching closely to see if New York can spoil the party with an upset win.
SportsBoom offers honest and impartial bookmaker reviews to help you make informed choices. While we may earn commissions through affiliate links, our content remains independent and free from promotional influence. For more information, see our Content Transparency and How We Review pages.
Drake Maye #10 /Getty Images
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
New England Patriots: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
New York Jets: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
Forecast odds – Betting available on bet365 closer to event
Head-to-Head Record
The New England Patriots and the New York Jets have played 133 times in NFL history, with the Patriots winning 76 of them. It’s guaranteed to be another exciting matchup.
Last 5 Matches
| Season | Date | Result |
| 2025 Season | November 13, 2025 | New England Patriots 27-14 New York Jets |
| 2024 Season | October 27, 2024 | New England Patriots 25-22 New York Jets |
| 2024 Season | September 19, 2014 | New York Jets 24-3 New England Patriots |
| 2023 Season | January 7, 2024 | New York Jets 17-3 New England Patriots |
| 2023 Season | September 24, 2023 | New England Patriots 15-10 New York Jets |
New York Jets – LLWLL (Last Five Results)
Record | Home Form | Road Form |
3-11 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
The New York Jets have one of the worst records in the entire league, winning just one of their last five games. Although they’re already well out of the playoff picture, for yet another season, the franchise can play with no pressure for the rest of the season and maybe spring up a few surprises. Their offense has an average of 19.7 points per game, placing them 27th out of the 32 teams in the NFL.
On defense, the Jets are ranked the third-worst in the entire league in points allowed per game, averaging 28.4 points. Only the Dallas Cowboys and Cincinnati Bengals have a worse output. Despite the ranking in points allowed, they’re 20th in the NFL in total team opponent yards per game, averaging 337.4 yards.
This gap may point to situational playcalling issues, where breakdowns in high-leverage moments lead to opponents scoring more efficiently than their yardage totals would suggest.
New York Jets – Offense vs New England Patriots Defense
The Jets’ offense will be able to take advantage of the New England Patriots’ defense in one specific area. Despite the massive differences in their record, the Patriots have a higher average number of completions allowed from opponents per game, with 21.3, compared to the Jets’ 18.5. This stat line could prove vital in the red zone.
Key Players to Watch
- Brady Cook (QB) – Cook is their third-string quarterback after injuries to Justin Fields and Tyrod Taylor. But he will be the man leading out the Jets, so he will be a key player to watch.
- Breece Hall (RB) – Hall is the best player within their offense, with an impressive 900 rushing yards notched together so far. He’s managed to stay healthy all year and looks set to make his first 1,000-yard season.
- Mason Taylor (TE) – Rookie Taylor has had a solid first year in the league, with 1 touchdown and 368 receiving yards. He’s their second-highest receiving option this season, but one of the few stars who have featured in the vast majority of matches.
Injury Report
- Justin Fields – Questionable (knee)
- Tyrod Taylor – Questionable (groin/knee)
- Mason Taylor – Questionable (neck)
- Eric Watts – Questionable (concussion)
- Kiko Mauigoa – Questionable (neck)
New England Patriots– WWWWL (Last Five Results)
Record | Home Form | Road Form |
11-3 | 5-3 | 6-0 |
The New England Patriots have a strong offensive unit, averaging 27.3 points per game and 364.2 yards per game, ranking seventh in scoring offense and sixth in total offense. These numbers make them a very tough test for the Jets, and with a playoff place on the horizon, the Patriots may exceed these figures.
The Patriots’ defense is ranked as one of the best in the league with points allowed per game. The franchise is sixth overall with 19.7 points allowed, averaging consistent figures of 19.3 points at home and 20.3 points on the road. A well-operated defense is crucial at this point in the season to claim a playoff place.
New England Patriots – Offense vs New York Jets Defense
The Jets’ defense will have a tough test against the New England Patriots’ offense, as New England ranks third in the league with the highest team average scoring margin. Their 7.6 point average scoring margin makes them a formidable opponent, especially as the Jets are ranked 29th in the NFL with one of the worst losing deficits.
Key Players to Watch
- Drake Maye (QB) – Maye’s second year in the NFL has seen him establish himself as one of the best quarterbacks in the league. He’s averaging a passer rating of 109.1, an incredible standard, and is vastly improving on the number of touchdowns. From 15 in his first year to 23 this season, he’s become a revelation.
- Stefon Diggs (WR) – Diggs joined New England at the start of the season but has gelled in well. He’s propping up 731 receiving yards after 14 games, and although his numbers aren’t near his best from previous seasons, he’s still recording their best output on receiving.
- Treveyon Henderson (RB) – Henderson’s first year in the NFL has been mightily impressive, recording 773 rushing yards this season. He has a high ceiling and will be a key weapon for this game.
Injury Report:
- Christian Elliss – Questionable (illness)
- Robert Spillane – Questionable (ankle)
- Harold Landry III – Questionable (knee)
- Marcus Jones – Questionable (knee)
- Carlton Davis III – Questionable (hip)
Predicted Line-Ups
New York Jets
Offense:
- QB: Brady Cook
- RB: Breece Hall
- WR: Isaiah Williams, Adonai Mitchell, John Metchie III
- TE: Jeremy Ruckert
- FB: Andrew Beck
- OL: Olu Fashanu, John Simpson, Josh Myers, Joe Tippmann, Armand Membou
Defense:
- DE: Will McDonald IV, Jermaine Johnson
- DT: Harrison Phillips, Jay Tufele
- LB: Kiko Mauigoa, Jamien Sherwood, Quincy Williams, Kobe King
- CB: Quan’tez Stiggers, Brandon Stephens
- S: Malachi Moore, Keidron Smith
New England Patriots
Offense:
- QB: Drake Maye
- RB: TreVeyon Henderson
- WR: Stefon Diggs, Mack Hollins, Kayshon Boutte
- TE: Hunter Henry
- FB: Jack Westover
- OL: Vederian Lowe, Jared Wilson, Garrett Bradbury, Mike Onwenu, Morgan Moses
Defense:
- DE: Christian Barmore, Cory Durden
- DT: Khyiris Tonga
- LB: Elijah Ponder, Jack Gibbens, K’Lavon Chaisson, Christian Elliss
- CB: Carlton Davis III, Christian Gonzalez
- S: Jaylinn Hawkins, Craig Woodson
Value Bets
SportsBoom has taken time to research the best NFL betting sites, giving new bettors chances to secure significant financial returns.
Total Points: Under 49.5: The Jets have one of the worst defenses, and the Patriots have one of the best offenses, leading us to believe this could be a high-scoring matchup.
Patriots to Win: The Patriots are in strong playoff contention, so once a place is confirmed, they will be looking to close out their season with the best possible seeding.
Jets to produce fewer than 1.5 total touchdowns: The Jets are going up against a tough Patriots secondary. We predict fewer than 1.5 total touchdowns.
Why the New England Patriots Can Win
- They have already beaten the Jets this season.
- Drake Maye is producing numbers and stats that place him as one of the best in the league.
- Their record is the inverse of the Jets’, meaning they are a strong Super Bowl contender.
Expert Prediction: New England Patriots to Win
In conclusion, we predict the New England Patriots will win against their divisional rivals, the New York Jets. The Jets are in worrying form, and the Patriots have already proven to be winners earlier in the season. We believe these two points will bolster the Patriots’ chances.
Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.