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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: Sunday 29th March 2026 Tip-Off Time: 7 pm local time (3:00 am BST) Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado TV: ESPN Streaming: Prime Video, DAZN, NBA League Pass Records: Denver Nuggets 42-28, Golden State Warriors 33-36 Referee: N/A Last Meeting: Golden State Warriors 128-117 Denver Nuggets (Feb 22nd, 2026) The Denver Nuggets and the Golden State Warriors face off in this Western Conference battle. The Nuggets are on the brink of reaching the playoffs, but the Warriors’ recent form means they are close to securing a place in the play-in. Which franchise will prevail? SportsBoom endorses these NBA betting sites.

Henry Cheal
Henry Cheal
Sports Betting Writer
Chad Nagel
Sports Betting & Casino Editor

7 minread

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Nikola Jokic #15 of the Denver Nuggets calls a play against the Miami Heat

Nikola Jokic #15 of the Denver Nuggets calls a play against the Miami Heat / Getty Images

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability:

  1. Golden State Warriors: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.0%

  2. Denver Nuggets: 4/6 (1.67) – 60.0%

  3. Forecast odds – Betting available on FanDuel closer to event

Head-to-Head Record

SportsBoom has spent some time researching the best online sports betting sites out there.

The Denver Nuggets and the Golden State Warriors’ matchup always delivers in the regular season. Throughout regular-season history, this fixture has taken place on 198 occasions. The Warriors have only won 88 times, compared to the Nuggets, who have prevailed 110 times. Although the Golden State has won 3 of the last 5 fixtures, Denver has won 10 of the last 12 games. 

Last Five Matches

SeasonDateResult
2025-26 SeasonFebruary 22, 2026Golden State Warriors 128-117 Denver Nuggets
2025-26 SeasonNovember 7, 2025Denver Nuggets 129-104 Golden State Warriors 
2025-26 SeasonOctober 23, 2025Golden State Warriors 137-131 Denver Nuggets
2024-25 SeasonApril 4, 2025Golden State Warriors 118-104 Denver Nuggets
2024-25 SeasonMarch 17, 2025Denver Nuggets 114-105 Golden State Warriors
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Denver Nuggets – WWLWL (Last Five Results)

Record

Home Form

Road Form

42-28

19-13

23-15

The Denver Nuggets sit sixth in the Western Conference as the regular season reaches its conclusion. The close-knit division could place the Nuggets further up, but a place in the postseason is almost official. The franchise will be a force regardless, but it’s unclear what seed they will end up as. 

Denver Nuggets – Offense vs Golden State Warriors Defense

To back the Nuggets’ strong playoff standing in their division, they are averaging 120.7 points per game, numbers that place them as the league’s best offense. They previously averaged higher, but averages like this suggest Denver has an efficient championship-calibre offense. 

Key Players to Watch

  • Nikola Jokic (Center) – Jokic is statistically the best player in the NBA. The 31-year-old is averaging a triple-double this season. Averaging 28.2 points, 12.6 rebounds, and 10.5 assists per game. He’s seventh in shooting, but first in rebounds and assists.
  • Jamal Murray (Guard) – Murray has improved tenfold this season, averaging 25.1 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 7.1 assists. These are all career bests in his stat line. 
  • Aaron Gordon (Forward) – Although limited play time this season because of injury, playing 28 games, Gordon is averaging a career-high 16.8 points per game in a Nuggets jersey. He’s still influential on rebounds, averaging 6 per game.  

Injury Report

  • Peyton Watson – Out (hamstring)

Golden State Warriors – LLLWL (Last Five Results)

Record

Home Form

Road Form

33-36

19-15

14-21

At the time of writing, the Golden State Warriors have one of the worst recent records in the league, winning just two of their last ten games. The franchise is about to settle for a play-in place, but chances of a playoff seed to end the regular season are next to none. With injuries at the moment playing a factor, their season could be over at the first hurdle in the postseason.

Golden State Warriors Offense vs Denver Nuggets Defense

The Warriors’ offence is considerably weaker than that of Denver’s, as they are 19th in the league in average points per game with 115. This has decreased over the course of the year after Jimmy Butler III’s ACL injury, and Stephen Curry’s injury has seen a longer time on the sidelines than expected. 

Key Players to Watch

  • Stephen Curry (Guard) – Curry is proving that age is only a number, as at the age of 38, he’s averaging 27.2 points per game this year. But because of his injuries, he’s only played 39 games this season, so just over half of the season so far. 
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Center) – Porzingis joined Golden State at the trade deadline and has made six appearances thus far. He’s averaging 16.5 points, 4 rebounds, and 2.7 assists per game. 
  • De’Anthony Melton (Guard) – Melton has always been used as a rotational player, but this season is averaging his highest scoring. Averaging 13.1 points per game, he’s helped when the Warriors are uncompetitive.

Injury Report:

  • LJ Cryer – Day-to-day (left hamstring injury management)
  • Quinten Post – Day-to-day (foot)
  • Stephen Curry – Out (knee) 
  • Moses Moody – Out (wrist) 
  • Al Horford – Out (minor mild right calf strain) 
  • Seth Curry – Out (mild left adductor strain) 
  • Jimmy Butler III – Out (torn right ACL)

Predicted Lineups

Golden State Warriors

  • Guard: Brandin Podziemski   
  • Guard: De’Anthony Melton
  • Center: Draymond Green 
  • Forward: Will Richard
  • Forward: Kristaps Porzingis   

Denver Nuggets

  • Guard: Jamal Murray
  • Guard: Christian Braun
  • Center: Nikola Jokic
  • Forward: Aaron Gordon
  • Forward: Cameron Johnson

Value Bets

  1. Total Points: Over 234.5: Golden State’s offense isn’t anywhere near the Nuggets’ level, leaving us to predict this fixture will have over 234.5 points.

  2. Nikola Jokic to post at least 30 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists: Jokic has a ridiculous level of consistency against the Warriors in recent years. Averaging 30.2 points, 13 rebounds, and 10.1 assists from his last 10 appearances, we expect him to replicate this. 

  3. Nuggets to Win: Denver has won 10 of the last 12 matches against Golden State.  

Why the Los Angeles Lakers can win:

  • Denver has won 10 of the last 12 matches against Golden State.   
  • The Warriors have a depleted roster, whereas the Nuggets have only one injury to report. 
  • The Nuggets have a better record in the league. 

Prediction: Denver Nuggets to Win

To conclude this preview, SportsBoom believes the Denver Nuggets will prevail. The franchise looks far superior to the Golden State Warriors at this present moment, evidenced by their better record in the league. To bolster our prediction, they have won 10 of the last 12 games, leading us to predict the Nuggets winning on their home court.

Henry Cheal
Henry ChealSports Betting Writer

Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.

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