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Sebastian Fundora vs Keith Thurman Preview: Odds, Tips, & Prediction

Date: Saturday, 28 March 2026 Ring-walk time: 11:00 PM ET Venue: MGM Grand Arena, Las Vegas The WBC Super Welterweight champion Sebastian Fundora will defend his title against the former Welterweight champion, Keith Thurman, on Saturday, 28 March 2026. Fundora’s relentless aggression will come up against Thurman’s explosiveness in this thriller in Las Vegas. If you are looking to bet on boxing online with good value for your betslip, you can find it in our preview below.

published: 03-18-2026

Last updated: 03-18-2026

Nigel Naicker

Sports Betting Writer

Fact checked by:

Chad Nagel

Sports Betting & Casino Editor

2 minutes read

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WBC super welterweight champion Sebastian Fundora poses during a ceremonial weigh-in / Getty Images

Table of Contents

Pre-Fight Odds and Win Probability

Some of the best US bookies in the game have already posted competitive markets for the Fundora vs Thurman fight. Check out the odds ahead of the fight.

Sebastian Fundora: 1/4 (1.25)
Keith Thurman: 3/1 (4.0)
Odds courtesy of FanDuel, subject to change.

Tale of the Tape

Attribute	Sebastian Fundora	Keith Thurman
Age	28	37
Height	6’5.5” (197cm)	5’7.5” (172cm)
Reach	80” (183cm)	70” (178cm)
Stance	Southpaw	Orthodox
Record	23-1-1	31-1-0
KO Wins	15/65%	23/74%
Total Rounds Boxed	139	200+
Weight Class/Rounds	Super Welterweight/12	Super Welterweight/12
Titles Held	WBC Super Welterweight	Former WBA/WBC Welterweight
Last five results	W TKO (Booker), W SD (Tszyu), W UD, W TKO, W UD	W TKO (Jarvis), W UD, L UD (Porter), W UD, W KO

Sebastian Fundora News

Fundora comes into the fight with his camp reporting no injuries and motivated to defend his title. The 28-year-old is coming into the fight after retaining his WBC belt with a TKO win over Chordale Booker last year.

Keys for Fundora to Win

Fundora must use his southpaw action and massive height advantage to take advantage of the jabs and control the distance, while maintaining high-volume punches.

Keith Thurman News

Thurman is back in the ring after a 2025 KO win over Brock Jarvis and is in great condition ahead of the fight. The veteran has quick hands and is motivated to reclaim the title.

Keys for Thurman to Win

The 37-year-old must close the distance and use his explosiveness to catch Fundora. Use his boxing experience to manage the fight well.

Suggested Bets

Fight to go the distance (Yes): Both fighters are experienced and can last long in the ring. (Forecast odds: 4/5 with FanDuel)
Sebastian Fundora to Win: Fundora’s height and form make him the clear favourite. (Forecast odds: 1/4 with FanDuel)

Value Bets

Here are some value bets that go beyond the common markets and odds potentials for your betslip.

Keith Thurman by KO/TKO: The veteran could land a massive upset in this fight. (Forecast odds: 11/2 with FanDuel)
Sebastian Fundora by Decision: Fundora’s volume boxing could give him the points win. (Forecast odds: 3/1 with FanDuel)

Prediction: Sebastian Fundora to Win

Fundora defends his WBC super welterweight title against the experienced Thurman. Expect the champ to use his volume jabs and body work to push Thurman. The 37-year-old is a clever boxer, but it is likely the champ retains his title in Las Vegas.

Nigel NaickerSports Betting Writer

Nigel Naicker is a versatile sportswriter with extensive experience covering major global tournaments, including the Premier League, AFCON, and the Champions League. His knowledge stretches across soccer, UFC, cricket, and several other sports. In recent years, he has also expanded his expertise into sports gambling content and more specialised sporting niches.